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Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast (UCERF)
The 2007 Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities (WGCEP 2007), a multi-disciplinary collaboration of scientists and engineers, has released [in April 2008] the ...UCERF -- the first comprehensive framework for comparing earthquake likelihoods throughout all of California." The report predicts "California has a 99.7% chance of having a magnitude 6.7 or larger earthquake during the next 30 years." Includes the full report, a fact sheet, executive summary, a podcast, and related material.
http://www.scec.org/ucerf/
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